Archive for the 'Inflation' Category

Sep 03 2008

Economic Ignorance and Your Money

Lots of silly arguments on the economy are being made from both sides of the political aisle.  Here are some (slightly altered) paragraphs from an article I wrote last January to clarify the conventional thinking:

The infusion of what is called “loose money” is always a stimulating consequence for the economy in the short term.  The analogy I often use is pumping oxygenated blood into your body.

The downside to the Federal Reserve’s ability to create money out of nothing does cause malinvestment of capital as we’ve witnessed with the housing and banking fallouts.

Long term, creating money without limit always leads to increased prices and less buying power, which is a problem for people with the bulk of their financial assets in bonds, bank CDs, and other dollar-denominated investments.

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Aug 21 2008

Debating the Hidden Tax

Dr. Mark Perry and Brian Wesbury are both very good economists that I like.  This past week the two have been going back and forth on the concerns of inflation. 

On Tuesday Brian wrote this editorial in the Wall Street Journal.  Here are a few highlights:

Today’s problems began seven years ago in 2001, when the Federal Reserve overreacted to the deflationary mistake it made in the late 1990s.  The Fed vigorously pumped money into the economy in order to drive interest rates down rapidly. 

As is so often the case, after the Fed has acted, but before the typical lag in monetary policy has fully played out, conventional wisdom argues that the Fed has become impotent.

. . .

One of the reasons that monetary policy is so loose today is that our economy is addicted once again to easy money and low interest rates.  We hear over and over that the Fed cannot tighten because the housing market and the economy are vulnerable.  This was the same argument made in the pre-Volcker 1970s, when the U.S. bounced from one economic crisis to the next.

Shortly after, Mark countered with this post on his blog and then he added another post to address Brian’s comments.        

My Thoughts:  Both arguments have validity, hence, in the short term, I can argue either way.  In the long term, politicians will be politicians, and as long as there is no restraint (such as a gold standard) there WILL be inflation because it’s a hidden tax, and politicians will take advantage of it. 

 

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