Feb 09 2009

Unemployment and the Stock Market

Published by Roland Manarin at 2:50 pm under Bear Market, Stock Market

The strangest thing happened on Friday.  It was reported that the U.S. economy lost 600,000 jobs in January and the unemployment rate jumped to 7.6%, but the stock market rallied anyway.  Partly, this was because the stock market is a forward-looking indicator and employment is a backward-looking indicator.  If the economy is near a turning point, the stock market will reflect it well before the employment report.

But there is another explanation — one that is believed by most of the journalistic punditry — and that is that a bad employment report make a stimulus package more likely.  As Christina Romer (Chairwoman of the President’s Council of Economic Advisors) said on Friday, “these numbers…reinforce the need for bold fiscal action.”  What’s interesting about this is that there is absolutely no long-term economic evidence that higher government spending creates jobs.

From Brian Wesbury’s article in The American Spectator

 

  • Share/Bookmark

Related posts:

  1. Why the Recession Will Likely End Soon
  2. The Link Between Government and the Stock Market
  3. Gold, Derivatives, & the Stock Market (Plus: Why I Don’t Move More Of My Nest Egg To Cash)
  4. A Second Look at the 2008 Stock Market
  5. Aron Huddleston on the Stock Market with Omaha’s WOWT

No responses yet

Trackback URI | Comments RSS

Leave a Reply

DISCLAIMER: Information and analysis in Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd. communications is compiled from sources believed to be reliable but its accuracy or profitability cannot be guaranteed. All Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd. communications are intended solely for informational and educational purposes and are not to be deemed a prospectus or solicitation of orders, nor does it purport to provide legal, tax or individual investment or business advice. Readers should consult with expert legal, tax, business and financial counsel before taking any action. Advisory services offered through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd., an SEC Registered Investment Advisory Firm.